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A deconvolutional Bayesian mixing model approach for river basin sediment source apportionment

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dc.creator Blake, William
dc.creator Boeckx, Pascal
dc.creator Stock, Brian
dc.creator Smith, Hugh
dc.creator Bodé, Samuel
dc.creator Upadhayay, Hari
dc.creator Gaspar, Leticia
dc.creator Goddard, Rupert
dc.creator Lennard, Amy
dc.creator Lizaga, Ivan
dc.creator Lobb, David
dc.creator Owens, Philip
dc.creator Petticrew, Ellen
dc.creator Kuzyk, Zou
dc.creator Gari, Bayu
dc.creator Munishi, Linus
dc.creator Mtei, Kelvin
dc.creator Nebiyu, Amsalu
dc.creator Mabit, Lionel
dc.creator Navas, Ana
dc.creator Semmens, Brice
dc.date 2019-05-21T12:16:23Z
dc.date 2019-05-21T12:16:23Z
dc.date 2018-08-30
dc.date.accessioned 2022-10-25T09:20:35Z
dc.date.available 2022-10-25T09:20:35Z
dc.identifier | DOI:10.1038/s41598-018-30905-9
dc.identifier http://dspace.nm-aist.ac.tz/handle/123456789/123
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/123456789/95070
dc.description Research Article published by Scientific Reports
dc.description Increasing complexity in human-environment interactions at multiple watershed scales presents major challenges to sediment source apportionment data acquisition and analysis. Herein, we present a step-change in the application of Bayesian mixing models: Deconvolutional-MixSIAR (D-MIXSIAR) to underpin sustainable management of soil and sediment. This new mixing model approach allows users to directly account for the ‘structural hierarchy’ of a river basin in terms of sub-watershed distribution. It works by deconvoluting apportionment data derived for multiple nodes along the stream-river network where sources are stratified by sub-watershed. Source and mixture samples were collected from two watersheds that represented (i) a longitudinal mixed agricultural watershed in the south west of England which had a distinct upper and lower zone related to topography and (ii) a distributed mixed agricultural and forested watershed in the mid-hills of Nepal with two distinct sub-watersheds. In the former, geochemical fingerprints were based upon weathering profiles and anthropogenic soil amendments. In the latter compound-specific stable isotope markers based on soil vegetation cover were applied. Mixing model posterior distributions of proportional sediment source contributions differed when sources were pooled across the watersheds (pooled-MixSIAR) compared to those where source terms were stratified by sub-watershed and the outputs deconvoluted (D-MixSIAR). In the first example, the stratified source data and the deconvolutional approach provided greater distinction between pasture and cultivated topsoil source signatures resulting in a different posterior distribution to non-deconvolutional model (conventional approaches over-estimated the contribution of cultivated land to downstream sediment by 2 to 5 times). In the second example, the deconvolutional model elucidated a large input of sediment delivered from a small tributary resulting in differences in the reported contribution of a discrete mixed forest source. Overall D-MixSIAR model posterior distributions had lower (by ca 25–50%) uncertainty and quicker model run times. In both cases, the structured, deconvoluted output cohered more closely with field observations and local knowledge underpinning the need for closer attention to hierarchy in source and mixture terms in river basin source apportionment. Soil erosion and siltation challenge the energy-food-water-environment nexus. This new tool for source apportionment offers wider application across complex environmental systems affected by natural and human-induced change and the lessons learned are relevant to source apportionment applications in other disciplines.
dc.format application/pdf
dc.language en_US
dc.publisher Scientific Reports
dc.subject Research Subject Categories::FORESTRY, AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES and LANDSCAPE PLANNING
dc.title A deconvolutional Bayesian mixing model approach for river basin sediment source apportionment
dc.type Article


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