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The Demand for Cigarettes in Tanzania and Implications for Tobacco Taxation Policy

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dc.creator Kidane, Asmerom W.
dc.creator Mduma, John K.
dc.creator Naho, Alexis
dc.creator Tingum, Ernest N.
dc.creator Hu, Teh W.
dc.date 2016-07-08T12:29:33Z
dc.date 2016-07-08T12:29:33Z
dc.date 2015
dc.date.accessioned 2018-03-27T09:05:05Z
dc.date.available 2018-03-27T09:05:05Z
dc.identifier Kidane, A., Mduma, J., Naho, A., Ngeh, E.T. and Hu, T.W., 2015. The Demand for Cigarettes in Tanzania and Implications for Tobacco Taxation Policy. Advances in Economics and Business, 3(10), pp.428-435.
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11810/2931
dc.identifier 10.13189/aeb.2015.031002
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11810/2931
dc.description The study attempts to estimate the demand for cigarettes in Tanzania and presents simulation results on the effect of the cigarette excise tax on smoking participation, government revenue, and related topics. After briefly summarizing the magnitude and spread of cigarette consumption in the country, the paper reviews some empirical estimates from African and other countries. The 2008 Tanzanian household budget survey was used to estimate the demand for cigarettes in Tanzania. The descriptive statistics suggest that the smoking prevalence for Tanzania is 15.35 percent with low variability across expenditure (income) groups. Smoking intensity and per capita consumption were estimated at 7.08 cigarettes and 1.33 cigarettes, respectively, a relatively low value. A two-part demand equation model was used to estimate various elasticities. For the overall equation, the price elasticities of smoking participation, smoking intensity, and total elasticity were estimated at -0.879, -0.853, and -1.732, respectively. Compared to similar results in other developing countries, the estimates appear quite high. When estimated by expenditure (income) groups, the magnitude of the elasticity appears higher among high expenditure groups than among low expenditure groups. Two simulation exercises were undertaken. First, the effect of different excise rates on smoking participation rate, cigarette consumption, tax revenue, and related responses was estimated and highlighted. Second, the same exercise was undertaken to determine the effect of a given increase in the cigarette excise tax on various expenditure groups. The overall results suggest that an increase in the excise tax on cigarettes in Tanzania would reduce cigarette consumption and increase government tax revenue.
dc.language en
dc.subject Tanzania
dc.subject Cigarette Demand
dc.subject Elasticity
dc.subject Simulation
dc.title The Demand for Cigarettes in Tanzania and Implications for Tobacco Taxation Policy
dc.type Journal Article, Peer Reviewed


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