Climate change and variability perceptions and adaptations of pastoralists’ communities in the Maasai Steppe, Tanzania
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Elsevier
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Abstract. Full text available at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jaridenv.2020.104337
Designing adaptation strategies to climate change and variability impacts requires an understanding of people's perception of climate change. Despite Maasai of the Maasai Steppe being vulnerable to climate change, how communities understood and interpret climate change have received little attention. A cross-sectional study of community's perceptions of climate change and adaptation was conducted. A multinomial logistic regression in R 3.3.2 was used to analyze the determinants of adaptation decisions at a household level. Perceptions of climate change was based on experience of increasing temperature (94.4%, n = 136), insufficient rainfall with spatial-temporal variation (88.2%, n = 136) and frequent dry spell in recent years (91.2%, n = 136). Impacts of these changes were drop of livestock productivity (85.7%, n = 136), death of livestock (11.9%, n = 136) and conflicts (3.4%, n = 136). Although trekking livestock to ronjo and livestock based donation from relatives were commonly used to moderate adverse impacts of drought, at the 95% CI, at least primary education influenced household decision to move to ronjo (β = 2.5, SE = 1.2, p = 0.045) and donation (β = 3.1, SE = 1.4, p = 0.029) when compared to not adapting. Moreover, few livelihood assets observed in this study may limit perceptions and even adaptations of Maasai communities.
Designing adaptation strategies to climate change and variability impacts requires an understanding of people's perception of climate change. Despite Maasai of the Maasai Steppe being vulnerable to climate change, how communities understood and interpret climate change have received little attention. A cross-sectional study of community's perceptions of climate change and adaptation was conducted. A multinomial logistic regression in R 3.3.2 was used to analyze the determinants of adaptation decisions at a household level. Perceptions of climate change was based on experience of increasing temperature (94.4%, n = 136), insufficient rainfall with spatial-temporal variation (88.2%, n = 136) and frequent dry spell in recent years (91.2%, n = 136). Impacts of these changes were drop of livestock productivity (85.7%, n = 136), death of livestock (11.9%, n = 136) and conflicts (3.4%, n = 136). Although trekking livestock to ronjo and livestock based donation from relatives were commonly used to moderate adverse impacts of drought, at the 95% CI, at least primary education influenced household decision to move to ronjo (β = 2.5, SE = 1.2, p = 0.045) and donation (β = 3.1, SE = 1.4, p = 0.029) when compared to not adapting. Moreover, few livelihood assets observed in this study may limit perceptions and even adaptations of Maasai communities.
Keywords
Climate change, Pastoralists, Maasai steppe, Maasai, Pastoralists communities, Tanzania