Evaluation and prediction of the impacts of land cover changes on hydrological processes in data constrained southern slopes of Kilimanjaro, Tanzania

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dc.creatorSaid, Mateso
dc.creatorHyandye, Canute
dc.creatorMjemah, Ibrahimu Chikira
dc.creatorKomakech, Hans Charles
dc.creatorMunishi, Linus Kasian
dc.date.accessioned2022-12-16T09:23:05Z
dc.date.accessioned2025-08-05T07:18:34Z
dc.date.available2022-12-16T09:23:05Z
dc.date.created2022-12-16T09:23:05Z
dc.date.issued2021
dc.description.abstractThis study provides a detailed assessment of land cover (LC) changes on the water balance components on data constrained Kikafu-Weruweru-Karanga (KWK) watershed, using the integrated approaches of hydrologic modeling and partial least squares regression (PLSR). The soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) model was validated and used to simulate hydrologic responses of water balance components response to changes in LC in spatial and temporal scale. PLSR was further used to assess the influence of individual LC classes on hydrologic components. PLSR results revealed that expansion in cultivation land and built-up area are the main attributes in the changes in water yield, surface runoff, evapotranspiration (ET), and groundwater flow. The study findings suggest that improving the vegetation cover on the hillside and abandoned land area could help to reduce the direct surface runoff in the KWK watershed, thus, reducing flooding recurring in the area, and that with the ongoing expansion in agricultural land and built-up areas, there will be profound negative impacts in the water balance of the watershed in the near future (2030). This study provides a forecast of the future hydrological parameters in the study area based on changes in land cover if the current land cover changes go unattended. This study provides useful information for the advancement of our policies and practices essential for sustainable water management planning
dc.identifierSaid, M.; Hyandye, C.; Mjemah, I.C.; Komakech, H.C.; Munishi, L.K. Evaluation and Prediction of the Impacts of Land Cover Changes on Hydrological Processes in Data Constrained Southern Slopes of Kilimanjaro, Tanzania. Earth 2021, 2, 225–247. https://doi.org/10.3390/earth2020014
dc.identifierhttp://www.suaire.sua.ac.tz/handle/123456789/4831
dc.identifier.urihttp://repository.costech.or.tz/handle/20.500.14732/96846
dc.languageen
dc.publisherMDPI
dc.subjectLand use change
dc.subjectSWAT model
dc.subjectWater balance
dc.subjectPLSR
dc.subjectMount Kilimanjaro
dc.titleEvaluation and prediction of the impacts of land cover changes on hydrological processes in data constrained southern slopes of Kilimanjaro, Tanzania
dc.typeArticle

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