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Evaluation for the Performance of the CORDEX Regional Climate Models in Simulating Rainfall Characteristics over Mbarali River Catchment in the Rufiji Basin, Tanzania

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dc.creator Mutayoba, E.
dc.creator Kashaigili, J. J.
dc.date 2018-07-02T05:10:51Z
dc.date 2018-07-02T05:10:51Z
dc.date 2017-04-30
dc.date.accessioned 2022-10-25T08:50:12Z
dc.date.available 2022-10-25T08:50:12Z
dc.identifier Mutayoba, E. and Kashaigili, J.J. (2017) Evaluation for the Performance of the CORDEX Regional Climate Models in Simulating Rainfall Characteristics over Mbarali River Catchment in the Rufiji Basin, Tanzania. Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection, 5, 139-151. https://doi.org/10.4236/gep.2017.54011
dc.identifier 2327-4344
dc.identifier https://www.suaire.sua.ac.tz/handle/123456789/2467
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/123456789/89911
dc.description Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection, 2017; 5:139-151
dc.description This study aims to evaluate the performance of the individual Regional Climate Models (RCMs) used in Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) and the ensemble average of the four RCMs to feign the characteristics of the rainfall pattern for the Mbarali River catchment in Rufiji Basin for the period of 1979 to 2005. Statistical analysis for model performance such as Root mean square error, Mean error, Pearson correlation coefficient, Mean, Median, standard deviation and trend analysis are used. In addition to the statistical measure of model performance, the models are tested on their ability to capture the observed annual cycles and interannual variability of rainfall. Results indicated that the RCMs from the CORDEX indicated a better performance to reproduce the rainfall characteristics over Mbarali River catchment in Rufiji Basin. They reproduced fairly the Era Interim annual cycle and inter-annual variability of rainfall. The ensemble average performed better than individual models in representing rainfall over Mbarali River catchment in Rufiji Basin. These suggest that rainfall simulation from the ensemble average will be used for the assessment of the hydrological impact studies over Mbarali River catchment in Rufiji Basin.
dc.description Future Climate for Africa UMFULA Project, with the financial support from the UK Natural Environment Research Council (NERC), grant ref. No: NE/M020037/1, and the UK Government’s Department for International Development (DfID)
dc.format application/pdf
dc.language en
dc.publisher Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection
dc.subject Climate Change
dc.subject CORDEX
dc.subject Regional Climate Models (RCMs)
dc.subject Ensemble Average
dc.title Evaluation for the Performance of the CORDEX Regional Climate Models in Simulating Rainfall Characteristics over Mbarali River Catchment in the Rufiji Basin, Tanzania
dc.type Article


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