| dc.creator |
Makulilo, Alexander B. |
|
| dc.date |
2016-05-09T19:47:34Z |
|
| dc.date |
2016-05-09T19:47:34Z |
|
| dc.date |
2012 |
|
| dc.date.accessioned |
2018-03-27T09:11:36Z |
|
| dc.date.available |
2018-03-27T09:11:36Z |
|
| dc.identifier |
Makulilo, A.B., 2012. 'Where Have All Researchers Gone?'Use and Abuse of Polls for the 2010 Elections in Tanzania. International Journal of Peace and Development Studies, 3(3), pp.33-56. |
|
| dc.identifier |
2141-6621 |
|
| dc.identifier |
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11810/1904 |
|
| dc.identifier |
10.5897/IJPDS11.055 |
|
| dc.identifier.uri |
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11810/1904 |
|
| dc.description |
More than any other period in the history of Tanzania since the introduction of multipartism in 1992,
opinion polls for the 2010 general elections were highly disputed by stakeholders on the ground that
they were partisan. It was claimed that the polls by the Research and Education for Democracy in
Tanzania (REDET) and the SYNOVATE were in favour of the ruling party, Chama Cha Mapinduzi (CCM)
while that by the Tanzania Citizens’ Information Bureau (TCIB) leaned towards the opposition party,
Chama Cha Demokrasia na Maendeleo (CHADEMA). In this article, the methodological rigor of these
polls was compared and the use and abuse of research were unpacked. Three interrelated questions
formed the central focus of this article: Were polls biased against or in favour of particular parties and
or candidates? How successful were pollsters in projecting electoral support for candidates or political
parties that reasonably reflected the actual electoral outcomes? And what were the sources of errors
committed by pollsters? In order to respond to these questions, a critical examination of research
methodology for each pollster was made. The article found that the sampling, framing of questions as
well as reporting were either by default or design flawed culminating in controversial polling outcomes. |
|
| dc.language |
en |
|
| dc.subject |
Opinion polls in Tanzania |
|
| dc.subject |
SYNOVATE |
|
| dc.subject |
Tanzania Citizens‟ Information Bureau (TCIB) |
|
| dc.subject |
Research and Education for Democracy in Tanzania (REDET) |
|
| dc.subject |
Chama Cha Mapinduzi (CCM) |
|
| dc.subject |
Chama Cha Demokrasia na Maendeleo (CHADEMA) |
|
| dc.subject |
Elections in Tanzania |
|
| dc.title |
“Where have all researchers gone?” Use and abuse of polls for the 2010 elections in Tanzania |
|
| dc.type |
Journal Article, Peer Reviewed |
|