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Prediction of Tanzanian Energy Demand using Support Vector Machine for Regression (SVR)

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dc.creator Kichonge, Baraka
dc.creator John, Geoffrey
dc.creator Tesha, Thomas
dc.creator Mkilaha, Iddi
dc.date 2016-07-12T09:12:23Z
dc.date 2016-07-12T09:12:23Z
dc.date 2015-01
dc.date.accessioned 2018-03-27T08:37:57Z
dc.date.available 2018-03-27T08:37:57Z
dc.identifier Kichonge, B., John, G.R. and Tesha, T., 2015. Prediction of Tanzanian Energy Demand using Support Vector Machine for Regression (SVR). International Journal of Computer Applications, 109(3), pp.34-39.
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11810/3100
dc.identifier 10.5120/19172-0643
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11810/3100
dc.description Full text can be accessed at teseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.695.2527&rep=rep1&type=pdf
dc.description This study discusses the influences of economic, energy and environment indicators in the prediction of energy demand for Tanzania applying support vector machine for regression (SVR). Economic, energy and environment indicators were applied to formulate models based on time series data. The experimental results showed the supremacy of the polynomial-SVR kernel function and the energy indicators model in providing the transformation, which achieved more accurate prediction values. The energy indicators model had a correlation coefficient (CC) of 0.999 as equated to 0.9975 and 0.9952 with PUKF-SVR kernels for economic and environment indicators model. The energy indicators model closeness of predicted values as compared to actual values was the best as compared to economic and environment indicators models. Furthermore, root mean squared error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), root relative squared error (RRSE) and relative absolute error (RAE) of energy indicators model were the lowest. Long-run sustainable development of the energy sector can be achieved with the use of SVR-algorithm as prediction tool of future energy demand.
dc.language en
dc.subject Energy demand
dc.subject Energy demand indicators
dc.subject Energy prediction
dc.subject Support vector machine for regression
dc.title Prediction of Tanzanian Energy Demand using Support Vector Machine for Regression (SVR)
dc.type Journal Article


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