Extending the ReNAPRI model framework to poultry in Eastern & Southern Africa

dc.creatorDavids, Tracy
dc.creatorDzanku, Fred
dc.creatorKirimi, Lilian
dc.creatorMpenda, Zena
dc.creatorPeter, van Horne
dc.creatorAchterbosch, Thom
dc.date2022-10-05T09:32:04Z
dc.date2022-10-05T09:32:04Z
dc.date2021-02
dc.date.accessioned2022-10-25T08:53:02Z
dc.date.available2022-10-25T08:53:02Z
dc.descriptionD3 – Final Report
dc.descriptionIn per capita terms, poultry consumption in Sub Saharan Africa remains low. As income grows, allowing for greater dietary diversification, expectations are that poultry consumption will also increase. To understand the possible extent of growth, as well as the possibilities to expand domestic production to supply it, this report considers demand preferences for poultry products in the region, before providing an overview of the current structure of poultry value chains in South Africa, Ghana, Kenya and Tanzania, as well as a quantitative modelling framework and a consistent market outlook, which integrates chicken and feed sectors and can be utilised to support strategic decision making in the sector in a forward looking context. The study found a tension between rapid growth in imports, and the general consumer preference for domestically produced chicken meat over imported products, and in many regions a preference for indigenous breeds over broilers. Despite differences between countries, the contribution of intensive production systems is growing, but cost competitiveness is a major driver of rising imports, underscoring the importance of a competitive feed sector to grow poultry production. Under baseline assumptions, imports are projected to remain an important contributor in supplying further demand growth. Nevertheless, a combination of interventions addressing productivity gains, feed cost competitiveness and carcass valuation opportunities can induce accelerated production growth, enabling domestic producers to capture a greater share of domestic demand growth in future.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.identifierhttp://www.suaire.sua.ac.tz/handle/123456789/4632
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/93266
dc.languageen
dc.publisherEuropean Commission
dc.subjectReNAPRI model framework
dc.subjectpoultry
dc.subjectEastern Africa
dc.subjectSouthern Africa
dc.subjectAgri-Economic policy
dc.subjectAgriculture & Development Policy
dc.subjectAfrica
dc.subjectpoultry consumption
dc.subjectdietary diversification
dc.subjectchicken feeds
dc.titleExtending the ReNAPRI model framework to poultry in Eastern & Southern Africa
dc.titleWithin the framework contract “Support to the Agri-Economic Analysis & Modelling of Agriculture & Development Policy for Africa 154591-2014-A08-NL (AREA)
dc.typeTechnical Report

Files